editor's blog

Cameron confident


David Cameron said on the BBC's "Today" programme this morning that he was "very confident" that the AV referendum would go ahead: http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_8862000/8862987.stm

Trust the people!


The BBC reported yesterday that the (Labour) Shadow Cabinet had decided to oppose the legislation to hold a referendum on whether to elect MPs by the Alternative Vote (AV). How hypocritical! How unprincipled! The Labour Party was the only party to promise a referendum on AV in its election manifesto less than three months ago. Now it is the first party to oppose the very legislation it had promised.

I suspect that its main motive is to try to split the coalition and bring it down. Of course, Labour MPs would prefer to be in Government and, indeed, many Liberal Democrats might have preferred to share power with Labour than with the Conservatives, but the voting arithmetic was not right for that. The people spoke and gave more votes and seats to the Conservatives than to Labour.

However, Labour's stated reason for opposing the legislation is that the Bill links the AV referendum to reducing the number of constituencies and equalizing their electorates. If Mr Cameron is serious about holding the referendum and keeping the coalition together, he should separate the referendum legislation from the other. Then, either Labour will support the referendum legislation and it will be passed or the party will be shown to be really unprincipled.

There also some unprincipled Conservative MPs who threaten to vote with Labour against holding the referendum. Although they are entitled to oppose AV itself, they are not entitled to renege on their party's agreement with the Liberal Democrats. If they expect Liberal Democratic support for some Conservative policies, they must support the referendum legislation.

Conservatives who oppose the coalition should also consider the voting arithmetic. The people did not give them enough votes or seats to form a Conservative Government but, in coalition, they can get some Conservative policies through IF they support certain Liberal Democrat policies such as the AV referendum.

They may think that, if the coalition falls, Mr Cameron can call an election and sweep to one-party power but I doubt it. Voters may well blame the Conservative Party for breaking the coalition agreement and punish it in the polls. In any case, the public still seems to distrust politicians and would be reluctant to give total power to one party.

The bottom line is that the only legitimate way to oppose AV is to oppose it in the referendum itself. MPs should no more decide how they are themselves elected than bankers should decide what laws should control banking. It is deceitful, underhand and undemocratic to try to stop the referendum being held; it reeks of desperation. Let the referendum be held and trust the people to decide.

The question


The Government published today the question to be asked in the AV referendum on 5 May 2011.

The full text of the question is: "Do you want the United Kingdom to adopt the 'alternative vote' system instead of the current 'first past the post' system for electing Members of Parliament to the House of Commons?"

Under the alternative vote (AV) system, voters rank candidates in their constituency in order of preference.

There is no doubt that AV is better than first past the post. Two key advantages of AV is that each MP would be elected by at least half the votes and voters would no longer have to vote tactically to make their votes count instead of voting as they really feel.

Mandate? What mandate?


Does your MP have a real mandate? The odds are 2:1 that (s)he doesn't!

In the 2010 general election, only 216 MPs (33.23% of them) received more than half the votes in their constituencies. As many as 434 (66.77%) received fewer than half the votes. Source & more details: http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/news.php?ex=0&nid=478.

If you agree that's undemocratic, you can help put it right by voting "YES" in the referendum on 5 May 2011. The referendum is to change the voting system to a "choice voting" system that will ensure that every MP is elected by at least half the votes.

In the meantime, you can keep up to date with the campaign by becoming a Supporter of STV Action.

Desperate tactics


Some MPs are trying to change the referendum date from 5 May 2011 because, they say, holding it on the same day as English local and Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly elections would artifically increase the turnout. What would be artificial about that?

British electors are notorious for not wanting to vote frequently, so it makes sense to hold the referendum on the same day as scheduled elections.

It looks as though the MPs who object to this arrangement fear a good turnout; they recognize that most people would vote "Yes", so they hope to win on a low turnout. This gives me great hope that commonsense will prevail and the people will vote "Yes". It is deperate tactics by these MPs to try to stop a "Yes" victory.

Don't MPs and commentators complain about low turnouts, so doesn't it make sense to encourage people to vote in this important referendum?

If holding two ballots on the same day "artifically" boosts turnout and in some way invalidates the vote, how valid was the election of MPs and Councillors on 6 May 2010?

Commons uses STV


The Commons used STV to elect its Deputy Speakers and Chairs of Committees. (I expect it was the AV version for the Chairs.)Speaker Bercow announced the results yesterday. So it's the best way for MPs to elect their representatives. Why don't they admit it would be the best way for the rest of us to elect them?

Your country needs you!


What should we do now that the coalition Government has promised a referendum on the Alternative Vote (AV) for elections to the House of Commons?

We welcome it. Although it falls far short of STV, it is a small but significant step in the right direction because it introduces preferential voting (voting 1st, 2nd, 3rd etc) for the first time. It would also give all MPs the legitimacy of being elected by at least half the constituency voters. AV would be easy to introduce with, unlike most other systems, no boundary changes needed. A subsequent change to STV would be as easy. The public would already be used to voting by numbers and clusters of existing single-member constituencies could simply be grouped together to form multi-member ones for STV.

I believe both coalition partners will do their best to honour their joint programme, including passing legislation for a referendum, but we need to remind them and encourage them to get it on the Statute Book without delay.

Thereafter, we shall have a very hard campaign for a “Yes” vote. Although the Conservative Party is committed to whipping its MPs to vote for holding a referendum, the Party is free to campaign in the referendum for a “No” vote. We should do our best in the meantime to encourage the Conservative Party and its individual members to support a “Yes” vote.

Also, although the Labour Party promised in its manifest to hold a referendum on AV, there is no guarantee that it will support the coalition’s legislation and, if it does, it may still campaign for “No”. So we should also do our best now to encourage Labour both to honour its manifesto commitment by supporting the legislation and then to campaign for “Yes” in the referendum.

We can’t afford to wait for the referendum; we must start building support and engaging the public now – recruiting supporters and members for pro-reform organizations, especially STV Action and the Electoral Reform Society, which both want preferential voting.

All party support?


The Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties have agreed to whip their parliamentarians into supporting legislation for a referendum on the Alternative Vote (AV) for parliamentary elections, so the Bill will probably be passed and Conservative MPs and peers should have no qualms about this. It will let the people decide.

But I wonder what Labour’s attitude will be. We all know that many of its backbenchers are diehard opponents of reform and we may suspect that its leaders espoused reform only as a last ditch attempt to keep the Tories out of power. However, this legislation was in the Labour manifesto. Ironic though it is that a Conservative-led coalition will introduce legislation that was in the Labour manifesto, will Labour support it or will they have the effrontery to oppose it?

If the Conservatives honour their agreement with the Liberal Democrats and Labour honour their own manifesto unlike 1997, the Bill should be passed almost unanimously.

Nevertheless, reformers should aim to maximize support for the Bill.

Individually, we can write to our own MPs. We can remind Labour MPs that they were elected on a manifesto that promised this legislation and, in suitable cases, we can also remind them that they owe their election to Lib Dem supporters who voted tactically. We can remind Conservative MPs of their party’s agreement with the Liberal Democrats without which they might be on the Opposition benches. Some of them, too, owe their election to Liberal Democrat supporters who voted tactically. We can also tell them that, even if Labour wanted AV to keep the Conservatives out of power, it could just as easily keep Labour out if the coalition works well and voters like it.

A small step for democracy


We welcome the new Government’s commitment to hold a referendum on using the Alternative Vote (AV) for parliamentary elections. In effect, AV is STV in single member constituencies; i.e. without a choice of candidates from the same party and without proportionality. It is a small step in the right direction towards STV in multi-member constituencies.

We congratulate the Liberal Democrats on achieving this historic advance and the Conservatives for their statesmanlike concession.

We also welcome the agreement to fixed term parliaments, which will make it more difficult for either party to renege on the coalition agreement.

We shall watch closely for progress on these two issues.

The BBC’s summary of all the proposed political reforms was blogged on this site a little earlier today.

Political Reform (the BBC's summary of the coalition's programme)


• Referendum on the Alternative Vote system for general elections
• Fixed-term Parliaments - next election in May 2015
• 55% of MPs required to bring government down in confidence vote
• Committee to look at fully PR-elected House of Lords
• Cut in number of MPs and equal size constituencies
• Right of the public to "recall" corrupt MPs
• Statutory register for lobbyists
• Scottish Parliament to get more powers under Calman proposals
• Referendum of devolution of further powers to Welsh assembly
• Review of Scottish MPs voting on England-only legislation
• Ban on "non-doms" sitting in Parliament
• Reform of political donations and party funding

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